{"id":8992,"date":"2019-01-16T22:43:32","date_gmt":"2019-01-16T22:43:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/dairylando.com\/?p=4064"},"modified":"2019-01-16T22:43:32","modified_gmt":"2019-01-16T22:43:32","slug":"lenta-recuperacion-de-la-produccion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dairylando.com\/en\/lenta-recuperacion-de-la-produccion\/","title":{"rendered":"Slow recovery of the production..."},"content":{"rendered":"

\"RodeoPor la mejor\u00eda de precios observados en el 2017, pens\u00e1bamos que el a\u00f1o 2018 iba a ser un a\u00f1o con fuerte recuperaci\u00f3n de la producci\u00f3n de leche. Pero ya cerrado el 2018 vemos que la recuperaci\u00f3n no fue la esperada y atribuimos se deba mayormente a que el precio de la materia prima del 2018 fue -12% inferior al 2017 (en moneda constante), agravado esto por una peor relaci\u00f3n de la leche ante los concentrados observado en el mismo per\u00edodo marcando un poder de compra -26% inferior a la del 2017. Finalmente el a\u00f1o cerr\u00f3 con 10.527 millones de litros de leche representando apenas un volumen +4,3% superior en la leche producida del a\u00f1o 2018 sobre el 2017. Ese crecimiento de +4,3% podr\u00eda atribuirse a factores clim\u00e1ticos (verano seco y baja incidencia de insectos del 2018 por ejemplo) y al pasaje de vacas desde sistemas menos eficientes a otros de mayor eficiencia que suele generar el cierre de tambos.<\/p>\n

Es importante se\u00f1alar que al final del a\u00f1o la producci\u00f3n de diciembre 2018 fue -2,1% menor al de diciembre de 2017 anticipando un inicio de 2019 complicado en la recepci\u00f3n de leche.<\/p>\n

\"produccion<\/p>\n

\"evoluci\u00f3n<\/p>\n

Estamos lejos del volumen r\u00e9cord del a\u00f1o 2015 y el eslab\u00f3n de la producci\u00f3n primaria enfrenta el 2019 con menos tambos, menos vacas y menos precio.., no es de esperar gran cosa de no mediar una recuperaci\u00f3n significativa en la demanda de leche por parte del eslab\u00f3n industrial.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Marcos Snyder<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Por la mejor\u00eda de precios observados en el 2017, pens\u00e1bamos que el a\u00f1o 2018 iba a ser un a\u00f1o con 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