{"id":9093,"date":"2022-10-26T22:58:26","date_gmt":"2022-10-26T22:58:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dairylando.com\/?p=6020"},"modified":"2025-03-21T20:35:36","modified_gmt":"2025-03-21T20:35:36","slug":"china-necesita-leche-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dairylando.com\/en\/china-necesita-leche-2\/","title":{"rendered":"China needs milk"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Mientras el gigante asi\u00e1tico mantiene un crecimiento del consumo de l\u00e1cteos de +1 litro\/habitante\/a\u00f1o, al sector de producci\u00f3n primaria le est\u00e1 costando mantener el mismo ritmo. Los productores chinos cuentan con precios de materia prima del nivel m\u00e1s alto del planeta, pero siendo el 3er pa\u00eds en tama\u00f1o s\u00f3lo disponen del 8% de la superficie agr\u00edcola (1.000 m2\/hab cuando, como referencia, en Argentina se dispone de 10.000 m2\/hab), suelos contaminados con metales pesados y el agotamiento de napas de acceso al agua dulce. El gobierno puede continuar subsidiando proyectos de mega-tambos, importar vacas y mantener un alto precio para el productor, pero el l\u00edmite lo impondr\u00e1n los altos costos de producci\u00f3n acentuados con la importaci\u00f3n de alimentos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Con una clase media creciente, \u00a1equivalente a la totalidad de la poblaci\u00f3n norteamericana!, las preferencias de alimentaci\u00f3n de la poblaci\u00f3n van virando de los cereales hacia la prote\u00edna animal aumentando significativamente el consumo de carne y l\u00e1cteos. El gobierno local se propuso un objetivo de consumo de 100 lt. de equivalente en litros de leche\/habitante\/a\u00f1o como herramienta para mejorar la salud de la poblaci\u00f3n y en 2021 con el pico hist\u00f3rico producci\u00f3n de 38.000 millones de litros China s\u00f3lo cubre 26 lt\/hab\/a\u00f1o.<\/strong> Si bien 100 lt\/hab\/a\u00f1o parece poco comparado con el habitual consumo argentino (190 lt), o la recomendaci\u00f3n de 160 lt de la Organizaci\u00f3n Mundial de Salud, la propuesta casi duplica el consumo chino actual. Recordemos que en la d\u00e9cada de los ochenta el consumo chino era de 5 lt\/hab\/a\u00f1o por todo concepto, actualmente se va acercando a los 50 lt y se pusieron como meta 100 lt. Tambi\u00e9n con cada a\u00f1o que pasa la intolerancia a la lactosa tradicional va cediendo con el ingreso de nuevas generaciones consumidoras de leche (a pesar de ser un pa\u00eds con baja tasa de amamantamiento, la posibilidad que trajo la importaci\u00f3n de leche maternizada de calidad permiti\u00f3 a las abuelas suministrar leche a los ni\u00f1os acentuado esto a partir del 2009). En \u00e9ste contexto la posibilidad de autoabastecimiento de leche con producci\u00f3n propia se torna ut\u00f3pico.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Tomando un poco de perspectiva, miremos le evoluci\u00f3n de importaciones en los \u00faltimos 22 a\u00f1os. En el siglo XX pr\u00e1cticamente las compras al exterior eran nulas. En 2008 con la adulteraci\u00f3n de leche en polvo con melamina (en un muy r\u00fastico intento de mejorar el an\u00e1lisis de prote\u00edna de la leche que gener\u00f3 algunas muertes y 300.000 ni\u00f1os afectados con variada gravedad) la poblaci\u00f3n se volc\u00f3 a los productos importados, preferencia que a\u00fan subsiste. Luego la curva es marcadamente creciente, con la ca\u00edda del 2015 causada por una restructuraci\u00f3n de la econom\u00eda dom\u00e9stica importante y la del corriente a\u00f1o 2022 con la pol\u00edtica COVID CERO con fuerte impacto en la actividad econ\u00f3mica. Estimamos que la tendencia de las importaciones que presenta el gr\u00e1fico se mantendr\u00e1 en el tiempo: China necesita leche.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Marcos Snyder<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

[twitter-follow screen_name=’dairylando’]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Mientras el gigante asi\u00e1tico mantiene un crecimiento del consumo de l\u00e1cteos de +1 litro\/habitante\/a\u00f1o, al sector de producci\u00f3n primaria le […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":10218,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"disabled","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[158,143],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9093","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-china","category-competitividad"],"spectra_custom_meta":{"_last_editor_used_jetpack":["block-editor"],"timeline_notification":["1666835907"],"_publicize_job_id":["78123822268"],"_elasticsearch_data_sharing_indexed_on":["2024-10-26 19:53:58"],"fifu_image_url":["https:\/\/dairylando.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/milk-with-china-flag-1.jpg?w=355"],"rank_math_og_content_image":["a:2:{s:5:\"check\";s:32:\"5d36dbfbd71e262de23657d283e3e625\";s:6:\"images\";a:1:{i:0;s:82:\"https:\/\/dairylando.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/milk-with-china-flag-1.jpg?w=355\";}}"],"_edit_lock":["1742589590:1"],"rank_math_seo_score":["16"],"rank_math_internal_links_processed":["1"],"_thumbnail_id":["10218"],"_uag_custom_page_level_css":[""],"site-sidebar-layout":["default"],"site-content-layout":[""],"ast-site-content-layout":[""],"site-content-style":["default"],"site-sidebar-style":["default"],"ast-global-header-display":[""],"ast-banner-title-visibility":[""],"ast-main-header-display":[""],"ast-hfb-above-header-display":[""],"ast-hfb-below-header-display":[""],"ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":[""],"site-post-title":[""],"ast-breadcrumbs-content":[""],"ast-featured-img":["disabled"],"footer-sml-layout":[""],"theme-transparent-header-meta":[""],"adv-header-id-meta":[""],"stick-header-meta":[""],"header-above-stick-meta":[""],"header-main-stick-meta":[""],"header-below-stick-meta":[""],"astra-migrate-meta-layouts":["default"],"ast-page-background-enabled":["default"],"ast-page-background-meta":["a:3:{s:7:\"desktop\";a:12:{s:16:\"background-color\";s:25:\"var(--ast-global-color-5)\";s:16:\"background-image\";s:0:\"\";s:17:\"background-repeat\";s:6:\"repeat\";s:19:\"background-position\";s:13:\"center center\";s:15:\"background-size\";s:4:\"auto\";s:21:\"background-attachment\";s:6:\"scroll\";s:15:\"background-type\";s:0:\"\";s:16:\"background-media\";s:0:\"\";s:12:\"overlay-type\";s:0:\"\";s:13:\"overlay-color\";s:0:\"\";s:15:\"overlay-opacity\";s:0:\"\";s:16:\"overlay-gradient\";s:0:\"\";}s:6:\"tablet\";a:12:{s:16:\"background-color\";s:0:\"\";s:16:\"background-image\";s:0:\"\";s:17:\"background-repeat\";s:6:\"repeat\";s:19:\"background-position\";s:13:\"center center\";s:15:\"background-size\";s:4:\"auto\";s:21:\"background-attachment\";s:6:\"scroll\";s:15:\"background-type\";s:0:\"\";s:16:\"background-media\";s:0:\"\";s:12:\"overlay-type\";s:0:\"\";s:13:\"overlay-color\";s:0:\"\";s:15:\"overlay-opacity\";s:0:\"\";s:16:\"overlay-gradient\";s:0:\"\";}s:6:\"mobile\";a:12:{s:16:\"background-color\";s:0:\"\";s:16:\"background-image\";s:0:\"\";s:17:\"background-repeat\";s:6:\"repeat\";s:19:\"background-position\";s:13:\"center center\";s:15:\"background-size\";s:4:\"auto\";s:21:\"background-attachment\";s:6:\"scroll\";s:15:\"background-type\";s:0:\"\";s:16:\"background-media\";s:0:\"\";s:12:\"overlay-type\";s:0:\"\";s:13:\"overlay-color\";s:0:\"\";s:15:\"overlay-opacity\";s:0:\"\";s:16:\"overlay-gradient\";s:0:\"\";}}"],"ast-content-background-meta":["a:3:{s:7:\"desktop\";a:12:{s:16:\"background-color\";s:25:\"var(--ast-global-color-4)\";s:16:\"background-image\";s:0:\"\";s:17:\"background-repeat\";s:6:\"repeat\";s:19:\"background-position\";s:13:\"center center\";s:15:\"background-size\";s:4:\"auto\";s:21:\"background-attachment\";s:6:\"scroll\";s:15:\"background-type\";s:0:\"\";s:16:\"background-media\";s:0:\"\";s:12:\"overlay-type\";s:0:\"\";s:13:\"overlay-color\";s:0:\"\";s:15:\"overlay-opacity\";s:0:\"\";s:16:\"overlay-gradient\";s:0:\"\";}s:6:\"tablet\";a:12:{s:16:\"background-color\";s:25:\"var(--ast-global-color-4)\";s:16:\"background-image\";s:0:\"\";s:17:\"background-repeat\";s:6:\"repeat\";s:19:\"background-position\";s:13:\"center center\";s:15:\"background-size\";s:4:\"auto\";s:21:\"background-attachment\";s:6:\"scroll\";s:15:\"background-type\";s:0:\"\";s:16:\"background-media\";s:0:\"\";s:12:\"overlay-type\";s:0:\"\";s:13:\"overlay-color\";s:0:\"\";s:15:\"overlay-opacity\";s:0:\"\";s:16:\"overlay-gradient\";s:0:\"\";}s:6:\"mobile\";a:12:{s:16:\"background-color\";s:25:\"var(--ast-global-color-4)\";s:16:\"background-image\";s:0:\"\";s:17:\"background-repeat\";s:6:\"repeat\";s:19:\"background-position\";s:13:\"center center\";s:15:\"background-size\";s:4:\"auto\";s:21:\"background-attachment\";s:6:\"scroll\";s:15:\"background-type\";s:0:\"\";s:16:\"background-media\";s:0:\"\";s:12:\"overlay-type\";s:0:\"\";s:13:\"overlay-color\";s:0:\"\";s:15:\"overlay-opacity\";s:0:\"\";s:16:\"overlay-gradient\";s:0:\"\";}}"],"footnotes":[""],"_edit_last":["1"],"_uag_css_file_name":["uag-css-9093.css"],"_uag_js_file_name":["uag-js-9093.js"]},"uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":["https:\/\/dairylando.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/milk-with-china-flag-1.avif",355,283,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/dairylando.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/milk-with-china-flag-1-150x150.avif",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/dairylando.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/milk-with-china-flag-1-300x239.avif",300,239,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/dairylando.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/milk-with-china-flag-1.avif",355,283,false],"large":["https:\/\/dairylando.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/milk-with-china-flag-1.avif",355,283,false],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/dairylando.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/milk-with-china-flag-1.avif",355,283,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/dairylando.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/milk-with-china-flag-1.avif",355,283,false],"trp-custom-language-flag":["https:\/\/dairylando.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/milk-with-china-flag-1-15x12.avif",15,12,true]},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"snydermarcos@gmail.com","author_link":"https:\/\/dairylando.com\/en\/author\/snydermarcosgmail-com\/"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"Mientras el gigante asi\u00e1tico mantiene un crecimiento del consumo de l\u00e1cteos de +1 litro\/habitante\/a\u00f1o, al sector de producci\u00f3n primaria le […]","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dairylando.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9093","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dairylando.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dairylando.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dairylando.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dairylando.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9093"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/dairylando.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9093\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10222,"href":"https:\/\/dairylando.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9093\/revisions\/10222"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dairylando.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10218"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dairylando.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9093"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dairylando.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9093"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dairylando.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9093"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}