{"id":9133,"date":"2024-05-03T08:03:19","date_gmt":"2024-05-03T08:03:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dairylando.com\/?p=6801"},"modified":"2025-03-25T01:58:36","modified_gmt":"2025-03-25T01:58:36","slug":"monitoreo-de-la-lecheria-regional-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dairylando.com\/en\/monitoreo-de-la-lecheria-regional-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Monitoring of the dairy regional"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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Aqu\u00ed presentamos la evoluci\u00f3n del precio de la leche al productor y los principales insumos que afectan la lecher\u00eda en Argentina, Brasil, Chile y Uruguay. En \u00e9ste monitor regional seguimos la evoluci\u00f3n de los precios relativos de insumos claves que afectan la actividad de producci\u00f3n lechera en la regi\u00f3n como es el Ma\u00edz<\/strong> (term\u00f3metro de la cuenta alimentaci\u00f3n que se lleva m\u00e1s del 50% de los costos directos), el Gasoil<\/strong> (impacta m\u00ednimamente en un 15% sobre costos de producci\u00f3n), el D\u00f3lar<\/strong> (m\u00e1s del 70% de los insumos de la actividad cotizan en d\u00f3lares), la Soja<\/strong> (cuyo valor incide en la fuente proteica del rodeo lechero y, en casi en todos los casos, en el pago de alquileres de la tierra en producci\u00f3n (para el caso chileno usamos Trigo <\/strong>en lugar de soja) y el precio de la leche<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Luego encontrar\u00e1n un gr\u00e1fico con la Evoluci\u00f3n del \u00cdndice de Costos compilados para facilitar la comparaci\u00f3n, y tambi\u00e9n un gr\u00e1fico comparativo con la evoluci\u00f3n relativa de los precios al productor por pa\u00eds. Finalmente un gr\u00e1fico de insumo\/producto mostrando los kilos de ma\u00edz que se pueden comprar con 1 lt de leche en cada uno de los pa\u00edses, como tambi\u00e9n los valores actuales de leche y ma\u00edz al productor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Usamos el mes de enero 2023=1 como punto de partida de la evoluci\u00f3n relativa de precios. De los gr\u00e1ficos es de destacar, la estabilidad en costos de alimentaci\u00f3n para todos menos Argentina que con la inflaci\u00f3n y el \u201clos d\u00f3lares Soja\u201d y ahora \u201cd\u00f3lar Agro\u201d y finalmente la correcci\u00f3n del tipo de cambio efectuada por la nueva administraci\u00f3n desconfigur\u00f3 la curva con fuerte incremento de costos. Es notable el equilibrio uruguayo, aunque en todos los casos la leche perdi\u00f3 terreno frente al d\u00f3lar. Por otro lado, el precio de la leche al productor se mantiene estable para Chile y Uruguay, mientras Brasil presenta una inflexi\u00f3n positiva luego de la ca\u00edda primaveral y Argentina en recuperaci\u00f3n saliendo del pozo pos-devaluatorio. De cualquier modo, el productor chileno y brasilero perciben los mejores precios: 0,442 y 0,452 US$\/lt respectivamente. El caso argentino est\u00e1 empa\u00f1ado por un escenario de alt\u00edsima inflaci\u00f3n anual (288%), comparado con Chile (3,7%), Brasil (3,9%) y Uruguay (3,8%) y lo que complica el an\u00e1lisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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En los siguientes gr\u00e1ficos observamos una compilaci\u00f3n de los datos generando el \u00cdndice de Costos\/Precio y el \u00cdndice de Precios de la leche en d\u00f3lares\/litro. En la primera (evoluci\u00f3n de precios internos para costos referidos al valor local de la leche) podemos observar que los productores argentinos son los que m\u00e1s han sufrido el incremento de costos relativos cuyos valores en litros de leche crecieron fuertemente desde mediados de 2023 y reci\u00e9n en diciembre y enero 2024 comenzaron a recomponerse alcanzando en marzo el nivel regional.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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En lo que hace a los costos de alimentaci\u00f3n, que se encarecieron regionalmente, esta vez el productor con el ma\u00edz m\u00e1s caro fue el uruguayo con 1,72 kg ma\u00edz\/litro de leche seguidos del chileno con 1,91 kg. Argentina con 2,09 kg\/lt y Brasil, la mejor relaci\u00f3n, con 2,14 kg de ma\u00edz\/lt de leche. Los c\u00e1lculos corresponden a febrero 2024, mes que contamos los precios de leche al productor de los 4 pa\u00edses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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dairylando.com | Liderando opini\u00f3n en lecher\u00eda<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n

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Aqu\u00ed presentamos la evoluci\u00f3n del precio de la leche al productor y los principales insumos que afectan la lecher\u00eda en 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presentamos la evoluci\u00f3n del precio de la leche al productor y los principales insumos que afectan la lecher\u00eda en 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