All reports climate make an El Niño event for the next semester. Because measurements of surface temperature of the South Pacific ocean (ENSO) dan oscillations considerably higher than the average, suggesting that we are in an El Niño event remarkable. It is important to know that in the last 100 years there have been 4 events of the magnitude as the predicted, being the largest of the year 1997/98. In summary this is a high probability of rain over the normal in a good part of the humid pampas. The probability of occurrence varies according to the areas and months between 20 and 100%:
Penalba et al, 2005. Project Climate of AACREA
In the chart that follows, we present the curves of rainfall in the 10 events The Child of the past 60 years for the town of Navarro, Province of Buenos Aires. In such events, measured an accumulated average of 1030 mm in the period September to march. Also figure the curve of the financial year 1997/98, which was the year with the greatest oscillation and bend with the rainfall today.
It can be seen that it will present a difficult scenario for the tasks of the field as it is the seeding of corn and sorghums for silage making, as well as the silage of the winter crop and pasture land that is usually performed between October and November.