A girl or a Boy?... up to now a Neutral!
The Outlook of ENSO is INACTIVE. This means that The el Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is neutral without strong evidence of that will be an event to The Child in the next few months. Most of the indices of ENSO are at neutral levels. Recently there has been a cooling of the subsoil and the majority of models indicate that it is likely to cool further in the tropical Pacific Ocean. Two of the seven models surveyed by the Bureau predicts La Niña conditions from the end of the austral spring to early summer.
Soil moisture
Analyzing the current state of water in the "topsoil" or arable soil, we observed that in September 2021, we have in a good part of the humid pampas, with a reserve of moisture higher than observed in the past year for the same date (see chart useful Water in the topsoil)
We entered the spring with a global situation better than it was last year especially in the province of Buenos Aires, southern Santa Fe, and southern entre Ríos being the area of cordoba which would have a minor difference. In the area affected, the moisture effect will be a positive advantage in increased grass production on this season of the year, in the accumulation of biomass for production of silajes of pasture or winter crop (ryegrass, wheat, oats, etc) and also for the planting of maize which is starting in these days. For the evolution of crop summer we will rely on the rains from October to January, but no doubt we'll start up with the optimum conditions.