Push the large
As you progress in the transition of the year 2023, the primary production of milk will spending "all the cartridges" in order to maintain production despite the winds of the historical drought 2022, and his tenure in 2023. In July 2023 and according to the profile of the drums is published by the OCLA ("Structure of the primary production") the only drums that grew in its production over the past year were the 500 tanks, larger, up to 10.000 lt/d in statistics but an average of 17.858 lt/d. These drums, with their contribution already hovering around the 30% of the national production and producing +10,5% more milk on July 2022, underpin significantly to the global production. The negative impact can be shown in the rest of the drums that averaged a production -4% below the last year. The second chart is a summary of the above for the first few months of the year with the year to year variation in % contribution to the total volume.
Panorama fodder
With the information published by the House of Contractors Fodder recently we have all of hectares ensiled in the country in the campaign 2022-2023. There is emerging that is ensilaron in total 2.658.415 you. of which 48.3% were for the drums and the rest for meat production. This was a +3% the surface ensilada in 2021-2022. Using this information we estimate the performance on the basis of the records of production of grain of every campaign of the crop, which would be finally a -30% lower than the volume of silage in the previous campaign (see chart “Tons silage crops for dairy farm”). 80% of the volume was bagging and 20% were silos air. 68% of the total silage were crops of corn, a 10% crops of sorghum and other winter crops.
According to Leandro Mohamad, manager Rock Riverthe laboratory of forage Argentina's most important silos of corn 2023 presented in average percentages of dry matter lower than usual, low levels of starch, and this starch is lower digestibility. It also notes the increased presence of ashes and mycotoxins. Added to these averages, points to see, a great variability in the results of analysis by expanding the dispersion in the data cloud.
The expectation of the impact on production is centered in this second half of 2023 and certainly the first few months of 2024. Gone are the megafardos of alfalfa, the supply of fiber is reduced to the materials used for the beds (peel peanut, rice, etc). The lack of starch agree to the peaks of breastfeeding and the rising costs of corn and by-products complicate seriously supplementation. In the following chart, taken from the report with the Monitoring of the dairy Regional that Dairylando prepares a monthly basis for Progressive Dairy Solutionswe see the tremendous difference in evolution of relative costs that have tambero argentine:
Physically missing 3.9 million tonnes of silage corn harvest 2023. This is because 1 lt of milk/kg dry matter, equivalent to 3,900 million litres. We will see if it is possible to continue by replacing in the second half. The hopes of joining silage wheat or other crop winter are dwindling as the dry season continues.
The doors of spring with an external market is depressed, little food to hand out at the rodeo growing of cows that make peak in October-November and the price of milk to the producer to fall in their purchasing power...what could go wrong?
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