With each month that is added to the statistic increases the % of loss with respect to the year 2015. The past month has kept a or-10.8%, but at the completion of the month of July, the period Jan-Jul 2016 accumulates a decrease of 12% compared to the same period of 2015.
While the province of Buenos Aires, in an analysis of year-on-year, reduced its production in a -10% for the month of July 2016 compared with July 2015, the Santa Fe fell -22,4% and Córdoba -17,3%. Being the provinces of Córdoba and Santa Fe, the highest production in the country and those that contribute the most in the spring, it is estimated that the typical wave of surplus will be grayed out and will probably finish out 2016 with a -15% over 2015.
Considering that the current developments in the production of milk copied to feel after the 2001 crisis (quite milder than the current one), we would be looking at minimally a curve like the one below:
It is not unlikely that the producers that they can remain in business they expect a period of 3 years with good prices (2017-2019), as it will be years with a supply of milk less than needed for domestic consumption (2017= 8.580 million liters, 2018= 7.990 and 2019= 9.100) presenting a scenario independent of the external market.