Zugzwang

Zugzwang is a German term that means "the obligation to move on." In chess is used to describe a situation where in certain positions, a player would prefer to skip your turn instead of performing the move, as the options available to make the situation worse.

Well, it ends up in the month of September and the rains that allow you to plant your corn early and the first not to have come. As we can see in the infographic, the situation is quite serious, much worse than last year when the planting was complicated. This year, as many producers are recalculating the campaign evicting shack, like the corn early, the first.

The impact of this action, which we call Zugzwang, is that many of them ended or is ending the maize silage. To have been able to plant corn first could be expected to have silo again between January and February 2022, which will not be taken. If the weather improves, as expected according to projections of the ENSO tropical Pacific by the beginning of 2023, the maize silage second would be available in April 2023...further extending the gap without reservations.

Not everyone can do that, but any action that you take to "stretch" the silage of corn to get to April 2023, representing a strong increase in operating costs. The drought is hitting hard on the explanations productive very dependent on the grass, maybe 30% or 50% of the drums.

An alternative for those who have sown wheat is ensilarlo with the volume you have. There are cases in which you can wait a few days to see if it's raining, and should make an immediate decision because the only thing left for the worse. Dispose of silage from a crop of winter would be of great help, without a doubt, then subtract stock up on some fibrous by-product such as soybean hulls or wheat middlings. Also be achieved, as the dry season affects their production, it would be very appropriate alfalfa hay or rolls of pasture.

To be able to do this largely depends on the price that is obtained by the milk in the coming months. The industry was 0,40 US$/liter as maximum price for the raw material surely related to the export market, export duties in force (representing a decline in price to the producer of 6 pesos/liter) and the delay of exchange rate.

Marcos Snyder

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